The simulation needs a larger screen — open this on a desktop. The ten analyses below work here.
This is one ordinary Wednesday in Boston, playing out in real time. Every dot is one of 1,182,015 simulated residents going about a day built from real travel diaries.
Massachusetts comprehensive planning · M.G.L. c. 41 § 81D
Every resident moving on the map above carries an age, an income, a household and a job. Those same people are the evidence base for the ten analyses Massachusetts master plans, Community Planning grants and One Stop applications all turn on — each one below computed from the source the Commonwealth names, with the requirement it answers stated first and every gap said out loud.
Before any of the analyses above can be trusted, the population on the map has to behave like Boston. This is that test, run against traffic counts the synthetic residents were never shown.
Screenline test: every MassDOT road segment with a real traffic count in the map's extent (20,957 segments) against the 62M simulated driver crossings from the diaries' own travel modes. No calibration — the synthetic residents were never shown a traffic count.
| road class | segments | rank correlation (ρ) | who drives here |
|---|---|---|---|
| freeway (1,2) | 1,324 | -0.01 | regional through-traffic dominates — the stated negative control |
| arterial (3) | 4,543 | +0.06 | mixed local + regional |
| collector/local (5,6) | 15,084 | +0.31 | resident-generated traffic dominates — the test |
The correlation rises exactly as the road class localizes — the signature a residents-only model must produce: it ranks the streets its own residents load (ρ = +0.31 across 15,084 local segments) and rightly cannot explain freeways carrying the whole region. The hourly rhythm found its missing population. Boston has 16,466 residents whose job is driving — truck, delivery, taxi and bus operators — and the simulation had them parked at a workplace dot all day. Putting them on real road alignments for their shifts lifted the midday road population from 15% to 28% of the simulated peak (counted: 80%) and the hourly correlation from 0.58 to 0.70. What remains is the rest of the non-commute day: errands, appointments and service trips still glide straight instead of routing on streets, and regional through-traffic is outside a residents-only model by construction. Mode share checks out exactly: 86% of simulated travel minutes are in a car, the national diary share.
hourly profile, each normalized to its own peak — simulated driver-crossings · counted vehicles on the network (AADT × TMAS)