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Massachusetts comprehensive planning · M.G.L. c. 41 § 81D

The ten analyses a Boston plan needs, built from the same people

Every resident moving on the map above carries an age, an income, a household and a job. Those same people are the evidence base for the ten analyses Massachusetts master plans, Community Planning grants and One Stop applications all turn on — each one below computed from the source the Commonwealth names, with the requirement it answers stated first and every gap said out loud.

How to read this. Every figure is computed from a named public source; nothing is estimated from memory or filled in by inference. Where a source cannot answer a question, the section says so rather than substituting a plausible number. Geographic definitions differ between sources — the city of Boston, Suffolk County and the simulation's extent are not identical, and each section states which one it used.

Two population figures appear on this page and they measure different areas. 701,957 is Boston as these analyses define it — Suffolk County blocks, which also take in Chelsea, Revere and Winthrop. 1,182,015 is every resident inside the simulation's extent, a box drawn wider than the city so that journeys crossing the boundary still have both ends. Neither is wrong; they are not the same area.

Built by Cambium from that synthetic population and the Commonwealth's own data layers. Requirements are drawn from Massachusetts planning law, EOHLC grant guidance and MassGIS documentation as researched on 1 September 2026; program-cycle provisions must be reconfirmed against a live notice before submission.

Does the simulation match reality?

Before any of the analyses above can be trusted, the population on the map has to behave like Boston. This is that test, run against traffic counts the synthetic residents were never shown.

Validation: simulated drivers vs counted traffic

Screenline test: every MassDOT road segment with a real traffic count in the map's extent (20,957 segments) against the 62M simulated driver crossings from the diaries' own travel modes. No calibration — the synthetic residents were never shown a traffic count.

road classsegmentsrank correlation (ρ)who drives here
freeway (1,2)1,324-0.01regional through-traffic dominates — the stated negative control
arterial (3)4,543+0.06mixed local + regional
collector/local (5,6)15,084+0.31resident-generated traffic dominates — the test

The correlation rises exactly as the road class localizes — the signature a residents-only model must produce: it ranks the streets its own residents load (ρ = +0.31 across 15,084 local segments) and rightly cannot explain freeways carrying the whole region. The hourly rhythm found its missing population. Boston has 16,466 residents whose job is driving — truck, delivery, taxi and bus operators — and the simulation had them parked at a workplace dot all day. Putting them on real road alignments for their shifts lifted the midday road population from 15% to 28% of the simulated peak (counted: 80%) and the hourly correlation from 0.58 to 0.70. What remains is the rest of the non-commute day: errands, appointments and service trips still glide straight instead of routing on streets, and regional through-traffic is outside a residents-only model by construction. Mode share checks out exactly: 86% of simulated travel minutes are in a car, the national diary share.

Who is actually in the counts. Census LEHD origin–destination records where the worker in every job sleeps: of the 1,049,449 jobs inside this map's extent, 60.6% are held by people who live outside it — 565,974 from the rest of Massachusetts and 70,318 from other states, arriving every weekday and absent from a Boston-only population by construction. (175,623 residents commute the other way.) MassDOT's own truck volumes add the freight: 2.66% of counted vehicle-miles, 5.9% on freeways, peaking on I-93, Route 1 and Chelsea's Broad Street beside the petroleum terminals. Through traffic is the one genuine residual — and the freeway-versus-local gradient above is its fingerprint. Roughly two thirds of work-related car trips here are made by people the simulation does not contain; that is a scope limit of a city-sized population, not a behavioural error, and it closes when the population goes regional.
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hourly profile, each normalized to its own peak — simulated driver-crossings · counted vehicles on the network (AADT × TMAS)